Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.150044 0.170822 0.193882 0.221451 0.253616 0.290078 0.334710
2026-01-04 0.118039 0.145841 0.179747 0.224490 0.282497 0.355863 0.456802
2026-01-11 0.099184 0.130004 0.170270 0.227472 0.307857 0.418630 0.586067
2026-01-18 0.087376 0.120056 0.165182 0.233282 0.335637 0.487354 0.736238
2026-01-25 0.077275 0.110365 0.158196 0.234131 0.354981 0.545786 0.882244
2026-02-01 0.069139 0.102084 0.151633 0.233865 0.371558 0.601673 1.035252
2026-02-08 0.062109 0.094405 0.144695 0.231506 0.383644 0.651382 1.187693
2026-02-15 0.056169 0.087618 0.138140 0.228520 0.393662 0.698544 1.345476
2026-02-22 0.052655 0.084266 0.136645 0.233758 0.418855 0.777750 1.586283
2026-03-01 0.048163 0.078757 0.130799 0.230274 0.426900 0.824790 1.769880
2026-03-08 0.044844 0.074882 0.127299 0.230540 0.442103 0.888926 2.008789
2026-03-15 0.041861 0.071277 0.123847 0.230352 0.456202 0.953160 2.265373
2026-03-22 0.039848 0.069264 0.123185 0.235779 0.483535 1.053653 2.648538
2026-03-29 0.037706 0.066810 0.121435 0.238781 0.506199 1.148497 3.048922
2026-04-05 0.035791 0.064586 0.119871 0.241933 0.529737 1.250727 3.506593
2026-04-12 0.034374 0.063176 0.119748 0.248161 0.561659 1.381868 4.102681
2026-04-19 0.032555 0.060801 0.117402 0.249070 0.580641 1.482722 4.639208
2026-04-26 0.030791 0.058376 0.114698 0.248784 0.596538 1.578782 5.198681
2026-05-03 0.028991 0.055719 0.111238 0.246252 0.606099 1.658714 5.732984
2026-05-10 0.027293 0.053135 0.107686 0.243047 0.613322 1.733497 6.281102
2026-05-17 0.026418 0.052208 0.107691 0.248669 0.646379 1.898948 7.286609
2026-05-24 0.024921 0.049824 0.104194 0.244929 0.651696 1.974335 7.933879
2026-05-31 0.023819 0.048217 0.102328 0.245214 0.669182 2.096605 8.866847